Where prices go over the next 24 months if today's pressures hold — rates above 7%, inventory building, one listing in three losing its buyer, homes already selling below asking, and a buyer pool thinned by people leaving and owners ageing into selling. Three scenarios, month by month, for both what sellers ask and what they actually collect.
Cumulative contribution of each driver over 24 months, metro-wide. They add to the base line above.
Solid: measured from your price history — what homes closed at against the price they were asking. Dashed: the next 24 months, as the buyer pool keeps shrinking.
Change from today's median listing price. Stress is how hard a ZIP is cutting and losing deals relative to the metro — above 1.0 means faster than average.
| ZIP | Median list | Base 12 mo | Base 24 mo | Hikes 24 mo | Relief 24 mo | Stress |
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